Monday, December 12, 2011

Dark Gold

Dark side's calling now
Nothing is real
She'll never know just how I feel
From out of the shadows
She walks like a dream
Makes me feel crazy
Makes me feel so mean
--John Cafferty & the Beaver Brown Band

Never got off a comment last week on the head-and-shoulders (bearish) pattern setting up in gold. This morning gold is down nearly $50, which essentially validates the 'dandruff.'


Why the thrust downward in the yellow metal? Not sure, cookie, as there is no 'obvious' gold-related news on the tape. Over the weekend, however, there were some rumblings that last week's EU summit outcomes 'did not go far enough' in resolving the debt crisis. Swap spreads are generally widening today, with Greek spreads crossing the 10,000 bps mark--implying a 100% chance of default.

Am starting to sense that gold may be a leading indicator of another round of 'risk off' in the markets. Added to my short equity position this am, and may do more in the upcoming sessions depending on how things unfold.

position in GLD, SPX

1 comment:

dgeorge12358 said...

As European debt is not offering much value to sellers, gold may be for sale to raise cash because it can be sold, not necessarily because sellers are eager to part with it.