Oh, it'll take a little time
Might take a little time
To come undone now
--Duran Duran
After a very interesting exchange last year, Kyle Bass returned for another insightful panel discussion this year (the actual discussion starts about 3 mins in).
I follow my fair share of macro discourse. I find the thoughts presented here as among the most interesting that I've heard. Bass' grasp of the sovereign debt and leverage situation is on a different level than most.
He is convinced that a EU crack up is imminent. From a silver lining standpoint, he suggests that, after observing the pending Euro collapse from front row seats, US policymakers might actually be stunned enough to proactively reverse course. Interesting thought.
On the other hand, he notes that capital flight into US Treasuries might lull policy makers into thinking that there is actually no crisis in our future.
In any event, this 1+ hr dialogue is worth your time. Personally, I plan to take it in a couple more times in the next few days.
position in USD, SPX
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When you look at Japan, they’ll sell more adult diapers than kids diapers by 2013.
~Kyle Bass
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