Sunday, May 26, 2013

Morally Hazardous Discounting

Will you recognize me?
Call my name, or walk on by?
Rain keeps falling, rain keeps falling
Down, down, down, down
--Simple Minds

The Fed has suppressed short term borrowing rates to zero. It is buying $90 billion monthly in Treasuries. It has said it supports policies that pushes financial asset prices higher.

In this environment of financial repression, how much is too much to pay for a yield bearing security?

Stated differently, how distorted can discounting mechanisms get in this environment?

position in SPX, Treasuries

1 comment:

dgeorge12358 said...

There is the possibility ... that, after the rate of interest has fallen to a certain level, liquidity-preference may become virtually absolute in the sense that almost everyone prefers cash to holding a debt which yields so low a rate of interest. In this event the monetary authority would have lost effective control over the rate of interest.
~John Maynard Keynes