Thursday, December 29, 2016

Policy-Based Evidence Making

From my heart and from my hand
Why don't people understand
My intentions
--Oingo Bingo

Analysis of US temperature data debunking claims that 2016 was 'overwhelmingly hot' and that temperatures have risen 1.5F since the nineteenth century.

The thrust of the analysis is that the percentage of hot days is not trending higher and is currently below the LTA:


And that time series show trending only after 'adjustment' (a phenomenon that should raise suspicion in any truth-seeking mind):


In fact, the adjustments correlate almost perfectly to measured levels of atmospheric CO2:


The national weather service (NOAA) appears to be adjusting the data to match global warming theory. The author calls this 'policy-based evidence making.'

One would be foolish to ignore policy-based evidence making as a primary motivator of all government agency activities having to do with studies and data services.

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