Thursday, July 31, 2014

Reds Run Production

Harry Doyle: That's all we got? Just one goddamn hit?
Assistant: You can't say goddamn on the air.
Harry Doyle: Don't worry. Nobody is listening anyway.
--Major League

Since the All Star break, the Reds have lost 10 of 12 games. While the team's starting pitching and defense have slipped a bit compared to the first half, the primary issue has been the Reds' anemic offense. Let's see how the recent 12 game string compares to the overall season thus far.

Here's a plot of Reds runs and hits for each game.


Post ASG begins with game 96. Correlation between runs and hits is .74. Runs/hit as a measure of efficiency or productivity:


Run scoring productivity in the period since the AS break certainly constitutes a season low compared to any other 12 game period. Still, at about 10% of total games played, the sample size isn't all that high.

Cyclicality is also evident in the overall series, meaning that slumps typically morph into streaks. Unfortunately for the Reds, there is no Votto or Phillips immediately available to help turn the tide.

1 comment:

dgeorge12358 said...

David Justice: How you liking first base, man?
Scott Hatteberg: It's uh...it's coming along, picking it up. You know, tough transition, but I'm feeling...I'm starting to feel better with it.
David Justice: Yeah?
Scott Hatteberg: Yeah.
David Justice: What's your biggest fear?
Scott Hatteberg: It's baseball being hit in my general direction.
David Justice: That's funny. Seriously, what is it?
Scott Hatteberg: No, seriously. That is.
David Justice: Well, hey, good luck with that!
~Moneyball