Friday, August 12, 2022

Remote Work and Lower Productivity

I was standing
You were there
Two worlds collided
And they could never tear us apart

--INXS

For more than a year, I've been wondering when the negative productivity effects of remote workplaces encouraged by pandemic regulations would show up. Coase's seminal work told us that organizations exist to reduce the transaction costs inherent to individual contractors trading on the market. 

Stated differently, productivity tends to increase when people work together.

CV19 pulled workers apart. Consequently, transaction costs should go up and productivity should go down.

It appears that the data are finally starting to reflect this reality. For Q1 and Q2 of 2022, non-farm business labor productivity has printed in negative territory (FRED graph here). Parenthetically, the FRED graph seems to paint a more positive picture than the actual BLS data series, which currently indicates 4 negative prints in the last 8 quarters, including huge -7.4 and -4.6% YOY declines thus far this year. Not sure why the difference.

Some commentators are attributing lower productivity to increased 'sloth' associated with employees being able to get away with goofing off when working remotely. There is certainly some truth to this, as one way to cope with agency problems is increased monitoring. Monitoring is a type of transaction cost, one that certainly increases when distance between employee and supervisor increases.

But the larger point is that costs of trade among workers endeavoring toward the same end go up when they are not working in close proximity.

We're witnessing a large-scale example of this currently.

No comments: