Sunday, November 19, 2017

Where's the Leverage?

"And I hate to tell you this, but it's a bankrupt business model. It's systemic, it's malignant, and it's global...like cancer."
--Gordon Gekko (Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps)

In past bubbles, leverage was concentrated and easy to spot. In the late 1990s leverage clustered in dot.com. In the 2000s it accumulated in housing and mortgages.

This time around leverage is harder to recognize. Yet, derivative usage, corporate debt, duration, and sovereign debt are all at record levels.

It is tougher to see leverage when it is all around us.

Rather than being dormant and local, leverage and its associated risks have become malignant and systemic.

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