Friday, July 15, 2011

The AAA Bubble

"Just remember, license never replace eye, ear, and brain."
--Miyagi (The Karate Kid)

Wow, this observation really struck me. From 1990 to 2009, assets with the highest credit rating increased from 20% of all fixed income to 55%. Sovereign debt comprises more than half of all AAA.

This bids an obvious question. In a world where debt and leverage have been dramatically increasing, how is it that more than half of all fixed income can be stamped as essentially risk free?

Seems that we have outsourced our brains to the ratings agencies.

4 comments:

dgeorge12358 said...

If Fed has created $X trillion to buy treasuries for its balance sheet, that could skew the AAA allocation.

fordmw said...

All the more reason to question validity of AAA...

dgeorge12358 said...

USA Inc cash flow has been negative for the last 9 years ($4.8 trillion cumulative).

Negative Net Worth and deteriorating.

Off balance sheet liabilities (Social Security and Medicare)of $31 trillion.

What's not to like?

fordmw said...

AAA all the way...