Friday, July 10, 2020

Hierarchy of Evidence

As deep as any ocean
As sweet as any harmony
--Thomas Dolby

Good observations on just how un-scientifically based the CV19 policy response has been. The author is careful to point out the folly of modeling:

"Let's go back to the idea of Covid taking half a million lives: a figure produced by modeling. But how does modeling relate to 'the science' we've heard so much about? An important point--often overlooked--is that modeling is not science, for the simple reason that a prediction made by a scientist (using a model or not) is just opinion."

Let's say that again. Predictions made by a scientist are not science.

The author also observes expert opinion rest on the hierarchy of evidence.


That's right. The bottom wrung. On the same level as editorials.

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