As deep as any ocean
As sweet as any harmony
--Thomas Dolby
Good observations on just how un-scientifically based the CV19 policy response has been. The author is careful to point out the folly of modeling:
"Let's go back to the idea of Covid taking half a million lives: a figure produced by modeling. But how does modeling relate to 'the science' we've heard so much about? An important point--often overlooked--is that modeling is not science, for the simple reason that a prediction made by a scientist (using a model or not) is just opinion."
Let's say that again. Predictions made by a scientist are not science.
The author also observes expert opinion rest on the hierarchy of evidence.
That's right. The bottom wrung. On the same level as editorials.
Friday, July 10, 2020
Hierarchy of Evidence
Labels:
agency problem,
bureaucracy,
health care,
manipulation,
measurement,
reason,
socialism
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