Tuesday, January 14, 2020

Earnings and Stock Returns

I walk along the city streets
You used to walk along with me
And every step I take reminds me
Of just how we used to be
--Naked Eyes

Simple but interesting scatter plot of sector earnings growth over the past decade vs sector returns over the same period.

Pretty good R-squared associated with this relationship, me thinks.

Note lagging performance of energy. My sense is that low valuation placed on this sector as a result of this historical performance offers opportunity going forward.

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